Monday, July 5, 2010

Extreme weather is predicted for the rest of summer in Europe and U.S. warns a top British meteorological forecaster. Weather Action is predicting that the superheat now being experienced in much of Central and East Europe will break down in massive thunderstorms before mid-month. The British Meteorological Society abandoned long-range forecasting after a series of high-profile failures, including their promise of a ‘barbecue summer’ in 2009 in what turned out to be one of the biggest washouts of recent times. Weather Action claims a success rate of 80% or better for their forecasts.
The deadly floods around mid-June in USA and France were triggered by coronal holes and were correctly predicted by Weather Action. "The Sun-earth magnetic and lunar situation is now set up for more sharply contrasting extreme events around the world this month and in coming months and we will predict many of them....It will again be coronal holes and related events on the sun which will trigger the thundery deluges and dangerous floods in our forecast...The same general solar activity which is driving intense circulation at predictable times and making deep depressions also pumps warm air from the south into Europe at present against blocking highs giving the superheat. They are part of the same predictable set of scenarios driven by solar-magnetic-lunar effects."

**Have no friends not equal to yourself.**
Confucius


LARGEST QUAKES -
This morning -
None 5.0 or higher.

Yesterday -
7/4/10 -
6.4 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
5.6 OFF COAST OF NORTHERN PERU
5.2 PAGAN REG., N. MARIANA ISLANDS
7/3/10 -
5.4 EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN
5.2 SOLOMON ISLANDS
5.0 TONGA
5.1 LIBERTADOR O'HIGGINS, CHILE
7/2/10 -
5.4 ANDAMAN ISLANDS, INDIA REGION
5.5 VANUATU
5.0 SOLOMON ISLANDS
6.3 VANUATU
7/1/10 -
5.2 NIAS REGION, INDONESIA
5.1 MAULE, CHILE
5.7 BANDA SEA
5.0 TONGA

TROPICAL STORMS -
No current tropical cyclones.
There is a 50% chance of formation of a tropical cyclone from a system in the Carribean in the next 48 hours. Two other systems have a 20% chance of development (one of these is just off the Louisiana coast) and one other has only a 10% chance.

Another tropical weather system moves across the Caribbean Sea - There is a potential for a second tropical storm to form in western Caribbean Sea July 5th and 6th with an impact on the oil slick similar to that of Alex. The tropical weather system was moving across the Caribbean Sea on Saturday. The satellite image showed an extensive area of clouds and associated showers and thunderstorms. Winds were about 15 to 30 mph. One computer model tracks this tropical system to the Yucatan Peninsula Tuesday with maximum winds of about 45mph, so it has the potential to become the second tropical storm of the season. The impact across the Gulf of Mexico oil spill will be to push it to the west and northwest. Initially this will ease the amount of oil affecting the Florida coast, but increase the impact on coastal Louisiana.

MEXICO - Monterrey, Mexico, was recovering from Hurricane Alex after flooding destroyed homes, damaged bridges and left six people dead. MORE THAN A YEAR'S WORTH OF RAINFALL FELL IN THE SPACE OF THREE DAYS, flooding the normally dry Santa Catarina riverbed near the city. More than 1,000 soldiers have been dispatched to Nuevo Leon state to help with relief efforts.
TEXAS - RECORD-BREAKING RAINFALL this weekend in Lubbock was threatening homes and buildings with flooding and closing roads throughout the city. As of 6 p.m. Sunday, 6.12 inches of rain was recorded since Thursday night in Lubbock, making July 2010 already THE SECOND WETTEST JULY IN HISTORY and breaking several daily rainfall records. Many city playa lakes and retention ponds already were overflowing into streets and threatening homes Sunday and forecasters said Lubbock could see an additional 1 to 3 inches of rain through Tuesday. The roof of a Starbuck’s collapsed Saturday evening after rain collected on the flat-roofed structure. Emergency crews responded to multiple calls of vehicles stuck in flood waters Saturday night and early Sunday around the city.

HEAVY RAINS, SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES -

CHINA - Rescuers pulled 42 bodies from a landslide in southwest China, and 57 people remained missing nearly a week after the disaster, with no signs of life detected.

HEALTH THREATS -

Flu activity up slightly in some parts of world - Global pandemic and seasonal flu activity remains low, but South Africa, New Zealand, and Australia have all noted recent slight increases in respiratory disease. South Africa logged its first H1N1 case of 2010, but most flu viruses there are seasonal H3N2. Low levels of H1N1 continue in parts of the tropics, particularly in South and Southeast Asia, the Caribbean, and West Africa. Low levels of type B flu persist in parts of Asia, Africa, and Central America.

US may destroy 43% of H1N1 vaccine - About 40 million doses of H1N1 vaccine worth $260 million have expired and will be destroyed, and 30 million more will expire later and may also be tossed. This would amount to more than 43% of all US vaccine made. "Although there were many doses of vaccine that went unused, it was much more appropriate to have been prepared for the worst-case scenario than to have had too few doses," said the Department of Health and Human Services.